A bettor with utility function U(x) = ln(x), where x is total wealth, has a choice between

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A bettor with utility function U(x) = ln(x), where x is total wealth, has a choice between the following two alternatives:

A Win $10,000 with probability 0.2

Win $1,000 with probability 0.8

B Win $3,000 with probability 0.9

Lose $2,000 with probability 0.1

a. If the bettor currently has $2,500, should he choose A or B?

b. Repeat a, assuming the bettor has $5,000.

c. Repeat a, assuming the bettor has $10,000.

d. Do you think that this pattern of choices between A and B is reasonable? Why or why not?

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Related Book For  book-img-for-question

Making Hard Decisions with decision tools

ISBN: 978-0538797573

3rd edition

Authors: Robert Clemen, Terence Reilly

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