A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 90 percent reliable when the person

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A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 90 percent reliable when the person is guilty and 99 percent reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 10 percent of the guilty are judged innocent by the serum and 1 percent of the innocent are judged guilty. If the suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only 5 percent are guilty of having committed a crime, and the serum indicates that the suspect is guilty of having committed a crime, what is the probability that the suspect is innocent?

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Essentials Of Business Statistics

ISBN: 9780078020537

5th Edition

Authors: Bruce Bowerman, Richard Connell, Emily Murphree, Burdeane Or

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