As a result of their analysis in Problem 7, Hermosa wishes to explore the implications of being able to grow sales volume by 4% per year. Argentine inflation is expected to average 5% per year, so sales price and material cost increases of 7% and 6% per year, respectively, are thought reasonable. Although material costs in Argentina are expected to rise, U.S.-based costs are not expected to change over the five-year period. Evaluate this scenario for both the project and parent viewpoints. Is the project under this revenue growth scenario acceptable?

Hermosa Beach Components, Inc., of California exports 24,000 sets of low-density light bulbs per year to Argentina under an import license that expires in five years. In Argentina, the bulbs are sold for the Argentine peso equivalent of $60 per set. Direct manufacturing costs in the United States and shipping together amount to $40 per set. The market for this type of bulb in Argentina is stable, neither growing nor shrinking, and Hermosa holds the major portion of the market.

The Argentine government has invited Hermosa to open a manufacturing plant so imported bulbs can be replaced by local production. If Hermosa makes the investment, it will operate the plant for five years and then sell the building and equipment to Argentine investors at net book value at the time of sale plus the value of any net working capital. (Net working capital is the amount of current assets less any portion financed by local debt.) Hermosa will be allowed to repatriate all net income and depreciation funds to the United States each year. Hermosa traditionally evaluates all foreign investments in U.S. dollar terms.

• Investment. Hermosa's anticipated cash outlay in U.S. dollars in 2012 would be as follows:

Building and equipment.....................$1,000,000

Net working capital............................1,000,000

Total investment..............................$2,000,000

All investment outlays will be made in 2012, and all operating cash flows will occur at the end of years 2013 through 2017.

• Depreciation and Investment Recovery. Building and equipment will be depreciated over five years on a straight-line basis. At the end of the fifth year, the $1,000,000 of net working capital may also be repatriated to the United States, as may the remaining net book value of the plant.

• Sales Price of Bulbs. Locally manufactured bulbs will be sold for the Argentine peso equivalent of $60 per set.

• Operating Expenses per Set of Bulbs. Material purchases are as follows:

Materials purchased in Argentina (U.S. dollar equivalent) ...............$20 per set

Materials imported from Hermosa Beach-USA..............................10 per set

Total variable costs..............................................................$30 per set

• Transfer Prices. The $10 transfer price per set for raw material sold by the parent consists of $5 of direct and indirect costs incurred in the United States on their manufacture, creating $5 of pre-tax profit to Hermosa Beach.

• Taxes. The corporate income tax rate is 40% in both Argentina and the United States (combined federal and state/province). There are no capital gains taxes on the future sale of the Argentine subsidiary, either in Argentina or the United States.

• Discount Rate. Hermosa Components uses a 15% discount rate to evaluate all domestic and foreign projects.