Download monthly data on real personal consumption expenditures and real disposable personal income from the Federal Reserve
Question:
a. Calculate the growth rates of real consumption and disposable personal income and plot the data (simply calculate changes in natural-log). How do you compare the level of volatility on consumption growth with that of income growth? Can you explain it with your knowledge of macroeconom¬ics?
b. Regress consumption growth on disposable income growth. Interpret the estimated equation and discuss statistical significance.
c. Add a lag of the growth in disposable income to the equation that you esti¬mated in b. Based on your estimates, comment on the possibility of an adjust¬ment lag in consumption growth.
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Related Book For
Forecasting for Economics and Business
ISBN: 978-0131474932
1st edition
Authors: Gloria Gonzalez Rivera
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