In order to hedge effectively, the hedger must have knowledge about expected basis. Traders and brokers have
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In January (a slow time for soybean farmers) Sam notes that a December contract is trading at $7.80/bu. Sam figures his cost of production and returns to land is $6.80/bu. So, in January he hedges his crop. Show below how the hedge will work assuming two alternative October cash prices ($6.30 and 9.30) and an October basis of $0.08.
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