You are a financial consultant. At various times you have heard comments on in- terest rates from

Question:

You are a financial consultant. At various times you have heard comments on in- terest rates from one of your clients. How would you respond to each comment?

a. "The yield curve is upward-sloping today. This suggests that the market con- sensus is that interest rates are expected to increase in the future."

b. "I can't make any sense out of today's term structure. For short-term yields (up to three years) the spot rates increase with maturity; for maturities greater than three years but less than eight years, the spot rates decline with maturity; and for maturities greater than eight years the spot rates are virtually the same for each maturity. There is simply no theory that explains a term structure with this shape."

c. "When I want to determine the market's consensus of future interest rates, I calculate the forward rates."

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