3.23 Table 3.16 cross-classifies votes in the 2000 and 2004 U.S. presidential elections.

Treating the two rows as independent binomials and using uniform priors, generate the posterior distribution of the odds ratio. Plot it, and find a 95% equal-tail or HPD posterior interval. What is the disadvantage of an HPD interval here?

Table 3.16 Data on Presidential Votes in 2000 and 2004, for Exercise 3.23 Vote in 2004 Political Vote in 2000 Bush Kerry Bush 763 65 Gore 59 680 Source: 2006 General Social Survey Theory and Methods