The total number of recovered individuals (R) in Scenario 2 is 145 as compared to 180 in Scenario 1. What does this tell us about the efficacy of isolation in this model?

Scenario 1

Consider the following simulation results (see the following figure) based on a hypothetical scenario in which four poultry workers from Tennessee infected with an H5N1 strain are moved to a health facility with a population of 180.

Scenario 2

This is the same hypothetical situation except that 40 people are isolated in a special ward at the facility before they can be exposed to the avian influenza strain.

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200 180 160- 140 120 100 80 - 60 40 20 100 20 40 60 80 Time - Infected# -Susceptible Recovered# # People 200 180 160 140 120 100 * 80 60 40 20 40 60 80 100 Time Susceptible – Infected# --- Recovered# # People