Consider the dynamic trend model FGv( 1)W( 2 3) introduced by Harrison and Stevens (1976) and revisited

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Consider the dynamic trend model FGv( 1)W( 2 3) introduced by Harrison and Stevens (1976) and revisited in Fruhwirth-Schnatter

(1994), where F=(10) G= 1 1 0 1 v( 1)= 1 and W( 2 3)=Gdiag( 2 3)G= 2+ 3 3 3 3 Simulate a time series data set from this model. Propose and implement a MCMC algorithm for posterior simulation assuming that 1 2 and 3 are unknown, where each i is assumed to follow an inverse gamma prior distribution.

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Time Series Modeling Computation And Inference

ISBN: 9781498747028

2nd Edition

Authors: Raquel Prado, Marco A. R. Ferreira, Mike West

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