Question: Suppose that a time series of stock returns {????????} can be represented using an ARCH(1)-M process ???????? = ????????2 ???? + ????????, ???????? = ????????????????,
Suppose that a time series of stock returns {????????} can be represented using an ARCH(1)-M process ???????? = ????????2
???? + ????????, ???????? = ????????????????, and ????2
???? = ????0 + ????1????2
????−1, where the ????????
are iid Normal(0, 1).
(a) Derive the conditional and unconditional mean of the series.
(b) Show that the ARCH-in-mean effect makes the {????????} serially correlated and calculate the ACF ????????, ???? = 1, 2, … .
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