Suppose we know two of the three people have Alzheimers disease. What is the conditional probability that

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Suppose we know two of the three people have Alzheimer€™s disease. What is the conditional probability that they are both women? 


Mental Health
Estimates of the prevalence of Alzheimer€™s disease have recently been provided by Pfeffer et al. [8]. The estimates are given in Table 3.5.

Table 3.5: Prevalence of Alzheimer€™s disease (cases per 100 population)

Age group Males Females 1.6 65-69 70-74 0.0 2.2 0.0 4.9 8.6 35.0 75-79 80-84 2.3 7.8 27.9 85+

Suppose an unrelated 77-year-old man, 76-year-old woman, and 82-year-old woman are selected from a community.

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