A student has to take a multiple-choice exam with n possible answers in each question (only one

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A student has to take a multiple-choice exam with n possible answers in each question (only one being correct in each case). The probability that the student knows the correct answer to a question is p (0 < p < 1). If the student does not know the answer to a particular question, he chooses completely at random among the n possible options.

(i) What is the proportion of correct answers given by the student in the exam?

(ii) If the student gives the correct answer to a particular question, what is the probability that he knew the answer?

(iii) The course lecturer wants to ensure that a student who has studied carefully with p at least 80%, when he/she answers a question correctly, the probability that he/she knew the answer is at least 95%. Find the smallest number n of possible answers the lecturer should assign for each question.

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Introduction To Probability Volume 2

ISBN: 9781118123331

1st Edition

Authors: Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, Markos V. Koutras, Konstadinos G. Politis

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