In seismology, an earthquake is said to be strong if it has a magnitude of at least

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In seismology, an earthquake is said to be “strong” if it has a magnitude of at least six measured on the Richter scale. Imagine that in an area which is frequently hit by earthquakes, the number of strong earthquakes follows a Poisson process with a rate of 2.5 per year.

(i) What is the probability that there will be at least three earthquakes of that magnitude

(a) in a three-month period;

(b) in a year?

(ii) Find the probability that in the next 10 years there will be exactly 3 years in each of which there will be at least 3 strong earthquakes.

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Introduction To Probability Volume 2

ISBN: 9781118123331

1st Edition

Authors: Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, Markos V. Koutras, Konstadinos G. Politis

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