Let E and F be mutually exclusive events in the sample space of an experiment. Suppose that
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Let E and F be mutually exclusive events in the sample space of an experiment. Suppose that the experiment is repeated until either event E or event F occurs. What does the sample space of this new super experiment look like? Show that the probability that event E occurs before event F is P(E)/[P(E) + P(F)]. Hint: Argue that the probability that the original experiment is performed n times and E appears on the nth time is P(E) x (1 - p)", n = 1, 2,..., where p = P(E) + P(F). Add these probabilities to get the desired answer.
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