A colony of insects is observed at regular intervals and comprises four age groups containing n 1

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A colony of insects is observed at regular intervals and comprises four age groups containing n1, n2, n3, n4 insects in the groups. At the end of an interval, of the n1 in group 1 some have died and (1 – β1)n1 become the new group 2. Similarly (1 – β2)n2 of group 2 become the new group 3 and (1 – β3)n3 of group 3 become the new group 4. All group 4 die out at the end of the interval. Groups 2, 3 and 4 produce α2n2, α3n3 and α4n4 infant insects that enter group 1. Show that the changes from one interval to the next can be written as

n M nz new 0 1-B 0 0  3 0 0 0 M 0 0 Mz 1-B, 0 1- B 0 4 M old

Take α3 = 0.5, α4 = 0.25, β1 = 0.2, β2 = 0.25 and β3 = 0.5. Try the values α2 = 0.77, 0.78, 0.79 and check whether the population grows or dies out over many intervals starting from an initial population

[100 90 50 30

Find the eigenvalues in the three cases and check the magnitudes of the eigenvalues. Is there any connection between survival and eigenvalues? Realistic populations can be modelled using this approach; the matrices are called Leslie matrices.

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