9 The government is attempting to determine whether immigrants should be tested for a contagious disease. Lets
Question:
9 The government is attempting to determine whether immigrants should be tested for a contagious disease. Let’s assume that the decision will be made on a financial basis.
Assume that each immigrant who is allowed into the country and has the disease costs the United States $100,000, and each immigrant who enters and does not have the disease will contribute $10,000 to the national economy. Assume that 10% of all potential immigrants have the disease. The government may admit all immigrants, admit no immigrants, or test immigrants for the disease before determining whether they should be admitted. It costs $100 to test a person for the disease; the test result is either positive or negative. If the test result is positive, the person definitely has the disease. However, 20% of all people who do have the disease test negative. A person who does not have the disease always tests negative. The government’s goal is to maximize (per potential immigrant) expected benefits minus expected costs. Use a decision tree to aid in this undertaking.
Also determine EVSI and EVPI.
Step by Step Answer:
Operations Research Applications And Algorithms
ISBN: 9780534380588
4th Edition
Authors: Wayne L. Winston