Reflect on Stacey’s (2002–03) description of the weather and think back on events in your country in the past twelve months (what has happened to retailers, the housing market, car sales, or the sustainability agenda, for example).

● What examples can you fi nd of ‘predictably unpredictable patterns’—patterns you can see with hindsight?

● Can you identify any fresh thinking about key issues? Where has that come from? What might that tell you about the conditions needed to foster creativity?

● What are the pros and cons of this view of change?