Often it is difficult to distinguish between the probability of anointer section of outcomes (joint probability) and
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a. Eight percent of the students in a class were left-handed and red haired.
b. Of the left-handed students, 20% had red hair.
c. If the Orioles lose their next game, then the Cubs have a 90%chance of winning the pennant.
d. Fifty-nine percent of the people with a positive test result had the disease.
e. For 78% of patients, the surgery is a success and the cancer never reappears.
f. If the surgery is a success, the cancer is unlikely to reappear.
g. Given the drought, food prices are likely to increase.
h. There is an even chance that a farmer who loses his crop will go bankrupt.
i. If the temperature is high and there is no rain, farmers probably will lose their crops.
j. John probably will be arrested because he is trading on insider information.
k. John probably will trade on insider information and get caught.
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Related Book For
Making Hard Decisions with decision tools
ISBN: 978-0538797573
3rd edition
Authors: Robert Clemen, Terence Reilly
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