You are an all-source intelligence analyst with a joint counter-terrorism task force. You have been tasked by your supervisor to develop and convey a futures estimate, which is a prediction for your division. This estimate has the potential to be placed in the president’s daily brief. Two potential threats to U.S. national interest or homeland security

• Smuggling operations

• Terrorist threats

Create a memorandum that identifies a threat to U.S. national interest or homeland security,