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.... ..080 Deaths 2 Date State Cases(x) Deaths(y) Predicted 3 7/1/2020 Alabama 38962 972 953.8 COVID-19 Cases vs. Deaths in Alabama: July 2020 1600 4

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.... ..080 Deaths 2 Date State Cases(x) Deaths(y) Predicted 3 7/1/2020 Alabama 38962 972 953.8 COVID-19 Cases vs. Deaths in Alabama: July 2020 1600 4 7/2/2020 Alabama 40111 985 967.9753 5 7/3/2020 Alabama 41865 1006 989.5495 1400 6 7/4/2020 Alabama 42862 1007 1001.813 1200 7 7/5/2020 Alabama 43953 1007 1015.232 1000 8 7/6/2020 Alabama 44878 1007 1026.609 800 9 7/7/2020 Alabama 45785 1033 1037.766 10 7/8/2020 Alabama 46962 1058 1052.243 600 11 7/9/2020 Alabama 49174 1068 1079.45 400 12 ######## Alabama 50508 1104 1095.858 y = 0.0123x + 474.61 200 13 ######## Alabama 51947 1114 1113.558 14 ######## Alabama 0 53587 1121 1133.73 30000 40000 50000 15 ######## Alabama 60000 70000 80000 55545 1124 1157.814 16 ######## Alabama 57255 1164 1178.847 Cases 17 ###**### Alabama 59067 1211 1201.134 18 ######## Alabama 61088 1230 1225.992 19 ######## Alabama 63091 1265 1250.629 20 ######## Alabama 65234 1286 1276.988 5. Calculus Portion (40%) 21 ######## Alabama 67011 1287 1298.845 a. In your step 4, you came up with equations based on what you thought best fit your models. Take the 22 ######## Alabama 68891 1291 1321.969 derivative of at least two of these equations to find the rate of change for your variables. In other 23 ######## Alabama 70358 1303 1340.013 words, you want to see what the rate of change of cases vs. deaths AND days since start vs. Cases to see 24 ######## Alabama 71813 1357.91 how large this rate seems. 25 ######## Alabama 74212 1397 1387.418 26 ######## Alabama 76005 1438 1409.472 b. Use this rate to make a prediction different than the one you used for the original equation in part 4. 27 ######## Alabama 78130 1456 1435.609 28 79000 1446.31 Prediction 29 100000 1704.61 Prediction 1364 .... ..080 Deaths 2 Date State Cases(x) Deaths(y) Predicted 3 7/1/2020 Alabama 38962 972 953.8 COVID-19 Cases vs. Deaths in Alabama: July 2020 1600 4 7/2/2020 Alabama 40111 985 967.9753 5 7/3/2020 Alabama 41865 1006 989.5495 1400 6 7/4/2020 Alabama 42862 1007 1001.813 1200 7 7/5/2020 Alabama 43953 1007 1015.232 1000 8 7/6/2020 Alabama 44878 1007 1026.609 800 9 7/7/2020 Alabama 45785 1033 1037.766 10 7/8/2020 Alabama 46962 1058 1052.243 600 11 7/9/2020 Alabama 49174 1068 1079.45 400 12 ######## Alabama 50508 1104 1095.858 y = 0.0123x + 474.61 200 13 ######## Alabama 51947 1114 1113.558 14 ######## Alabama 0 53587 1121 1133.73 30000 40000 50000 15 ######## Alabama 60000 70000 80000 55545 1124 1157.814 16 ######## Alabama 57255 1164 1178.847 Cases 17 ###**### Alabama 59067 1211 1201.134 18 ######## Alabama 61088 1230 1225.992 19 ######## Alabama 63091 1265 1250.629 20 ######## Alabama 65234 1286 1276.988 5. Calculus Portion (40%) 21 ######## Alabama 67011 1287 1298.845 a. In your step 4, you came up with equations based on what you thought best fit your models. Take the 22 ######## Alabama 68891 1291 1321.969 derivative of at least two of these equations to find the rate of change for your variables. In other 23 ######## Alabama 70358 1303 1340.013 words, you want to see what the rate of change of cases vs. deaths AND days since start vs. Cases to see 24 ######## Alabama 71813 1357.91 how large this rate seems. 25 ######## Alabama 74212 1397 1387.418 26 ######## Alabama 76005 1438 1409.472 b. Use this rate to make a prediction different than the one you used for the original equation in part 4. 27 ######## Alabama 78130 1456 1435.609 28 79000 1446.31 Prediction 29 100000 1704.61 Prediction 1364

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