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1 2 - 1 2 PROJECT RISK ANALYSIS The Butler - Perkins Company ( BPC ) must decide between two mutually exclusive projects. Each project

12-12 PROJECT RISK ANALYSIS The Butler-Perkins Company (BPC) must decide
between two mutually exclusive projects. Each project has an initial after-tax cash
outflow of $6,750 and has an expected life of 3 years. Annual project after-tax cash
flows begin 1 year after the initial investment and are subject to the following
probability distributions:
BPC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at 12% and the less-risky project at
10%.
a. What is each project's expected annual after-tax cash flow? Project B's
standard deviation ,(B) is $5,798, and its coefficient of variation
(CVB) is 0.76. What are the values of A and CVA?
b. Based on the risk-adjusted NPVs, which project should BPC choose?
c. If you knew that Project B's cash flows were negatively correlated with the
firm's other cash flows, but Project A's cash flows were positively correlated,
how might this affect the decision? If Project B's cash flows were negatively
correlated with gross domestic product (GDP), while A's cash flows were
positively correlated, would that influence your risk assessment?
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