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1 2 - 1 2 PROJECT RISK ANALYSIS The Butler - Perkins Company ( BPC ) must decide between two mutually exclusive projects. Each project
PROJECT RISK ANALYSIS The ButlerPerkins Company BPC must decide
between two mutually exclusive projects. Each project has an initial aftertax cash
outflow of $ and has an expected life of years. Annual project aftertax cash
flows begin year after the initial investment and are subject to the following
probability distributions:
BPC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at and the lessrisky project at
a What is each project's expected annual aftertax cash flow? Project Bs
standard deviation is $ and its coefficient of variation
is What are the values of and
b Based on the riskadjusted NPVs which project should BPC choose?
c If you knew that Project Bs cash flows were negatively correlated with the
firm's other cash flows, but Project As cash flows were positively correlated,
how might this affect the decision? If Project Bs cash flows were negatively
correlated with gross domestic product GDP while As cash flows were
positively correlated, would that influence your risk assessment?
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