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1 2 points A psychic runs the following ad in a magazine: Expecting a baby? Renowned psychic will tell you the sex of the
1 2 points A "psychic" runs the following ad in a magazine: Expecting a baby? Renowned psychic will tell you the sex of the unborn child from any photograph of the mother. Cost is $ 60. If the psychic guesses right he or she is going to keep all the money. But if psychic does not guess right he or she promises to give the $50 back and pay in addition $20 out of her pocket as a compensation for the wrong answer. Assume postage fees for the return mail are $1. Also assume that the probability of having a boy is 51% and the probability of having a girl is 0.49%. Suppose that the psychic simply replies "girl" to all inquiries. Assume that everyone who has a boy will ask for her money back. Use the expected value equation to estimate the expected profit per inquiry. 16.27 17.84 18.03 18.69 19.03 20.29
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