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1. Angela, in late 2017, intends to save $100 for two years. She investigates lending to the U.S. government versus lending to different U.S. corporations.

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1. Angela, in late 2017, intends to save $100 for two years. She investigates lending to the U.S. government versus lending to different U.S. corporations. She thinks inflation will average 1% over the next several years. A page on Bloomberg provides yield information on various U.S. treasury notes. She focuses on treasury securities of duration 1-year and 2-year, about to be issued. These two securities appear on her Bloomberg screen: U.S. t-note, issue date 1/05/18, repayment date 1/05/19, price $100 yield 1.5% U.S. t-note, issue date 1/05/18, repayment date 1/05/20, price $100 yield 2.5% A) What is Angela's ex-ante real annual yield expectation for the 2-year note? B) Suppose inflation averages 2% over the next two years. What was the ex-post real yield on the 2-year note? C) What do market participants, on average, expect the 1-year yield will be, in 2019? (ignore term premia considerations) D) If inflation turned out to be 4% in 2018, would you expect that the government would have to offer a higher or lower interest rate to borrow money for 1-year, in 2019? Explain briefly. E) Assume Angela bought the 2-year note, at a price of 100, and inflation was 4% in 2018. If Angela trys to sell her note in 2019, would the payment she collected likely be higher or lower that 100? Briefly explain

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