1. Chambers Inc. will pay GBP 500,000 in 270 days. It considers using (1) a forward hedge, (2) a money market hedge, or (3) no hedge. Chambers develops the following information:

* Spot rate of British pound as of today = 1.61 USD/GBP

* The 270-day forward rate of the British pound, Ft,270, is equal to 1.58 USD/GBP

* The interest rates, for a 270-day holding period, are as follows: deposit rate: 3.5% in the U.K., and 1% in the U.S. borrowing rate: 4% in U.K., and 1.5% in the U.S.

* Chambers Inc. forecasted the future spot rate in 180 days as follows:

Possible Outcomes	Probability
1.56 USD/GBP	25%
1.58 USD/GBP	35%
1.60 USD/GBP	30%
1.66 USD/GBP	10%

Carefully describe each strategy. Which hedging strategy would you recommend to Chambers Inc? Do preferences matter for your strategy recommendation? Justify your answer.