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1 - explain the main issue of the article. 2 - how this related to financial management and stragdy. 3 - personal reflection and comments.
explain the main issue of the article. how this related to financial management and stragdy. personal reflection and comments. INTRODUCTION
The widespread closing of stores and businesses in the United States and around the world due to the coronavirus is
unprecedented. Stores, factories, and many other businesses have closed by policy mandate, downward demand shifts,
health concerns, or other factors. Many of these closures may be permanent because of the inability of owners to pay
ongoing expenses and survive the shutdown. The impact on small businesses around the world is likely to be severe.
The early effects of COVID on small business and entrepreneurs are not well known because of the lack of timely
businesslevel data released by the government. This paper addresses this limitation by creating estimates of the
number of business owners from monthly Current Population Survey CPS microdata files. Using these timely data,
I examine how COVID impacted small business owners in midApril the first month to capture the widespread shelterinplace restrictions in the United States. I then expand the analysis to include the next months as
many states that had restrictions started to relax those restrictions.
The CPS data are used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics BLS to track unemployment rates, and have been used in
previous research to study determinants of business ownership eg recently, Fairlie & Fossen, ; Levine &
Rubenstein, ; Wang, The CPS captures the current work activity of the business owner, and whether that
business owner is currently operating the business. Thus, the number of active business owners can be captured in the
data, but there is no way of telling whether these are temporary or permanent business closures. Many of the inactive
business owners, however, are likely to permanently close their businesses especially if the COVID induced
recession is prolonged. Even temporary closures caused by the pandemic are problematic because they reflect income
losses to business owners in those inactive months.
This study provides the first estimates of the earlystage effects of COVID on small business owners from April
CPS microdata I find that the number of working business owners plummeted from million in February
to million in April because of COVID mandates and health and economicdriven demand shifts. The
loss of million active business owners or was the largest drop on record. When conditioning on working
roughly or daysweek the losses are even larger and respectively Total hours worked by all business
owners dropped by Although incorporated businesses are more growthoriented and stable, they experienced a
drop of from February to April
Patterns across gender, race, and immigrant status reveal alarming findings. AfricanAmericans experienced the
largest losses, eliminating of active business owners. Latinx also experienced major losses with of business
owners halting activity between February and April Immigrant business owners suffered a large drop of in
business activity, and female business owners suffered a disproportionate drop of
Building on these findings, this paper extends the analysis of COVID impacts into the second and third months
following widespread shelterinplace restrictions across the countryMay and June The analysis answers the
question of whether there was further closing of small businesses or instead a partial rebound as small business owners
tried to reopen or partially reopen. The findings indicate that there was a partial rebound from April numbers in
May and an additional rebound in June. The number of active business owners bounced back by percentage points
resulting in a drop in business activity from February to May and an additional percentage points rebound
in June resulting in an drop in business activity from February to June
Patterns across gender, race, and immigrant status reveal that the disproportionate impacts from COVID lingered
into May and June. AfricanAmericans continued to experience the largest losses, eliminating of active business
owners in May and in June. Latinx also experienced major losses with of business owners inactive in May and
inactive in June. Immigrant business owners suffered a large drop in business activity of in May and
in June.
Most major industries faced large drops in the number of active business owners in April with the only exception
being agriculture. Construction, restaurants, hotels, transportation, and personallaundry services all faced large declines in the number of active business owners due to COVID Simulations reveal that the concentrations of female,
black, Latinx, and Asian businesses in industries hit hard by the pandemic contributed to
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