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1 of 2 1 A very good professional softball player gets a hit about 3 5 % of the time over an entire season. After
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A very good professional softball player gets a hit about of the time over an entire season. After the player failed to hit safely in six straight atbats, a TV commentator said, "She is due for a hit by the law of averages." Explain why the commentator is wrong.
The commentator is misapplying the law of large numbers to a small number of repetitions.
Failing to hit six times in a row suggests she is in a slump and that she is likely to fail to get a hit the next time at bat.
According to the law of averages, she should have gotten at least two hits in her first six atbats, so the law of averages does not apply.
It is impossible to predict future outcomes from mathematical probability.
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