Question
1. Throx sells higher-end custom-design socks in three-sock sets (rather than two). The company operates from a small packaging and distribution facility in Richmond, CA
1.
Throx sells higher-end custom-design socks in three-sock sets (rather than two). The company operates from a small packaging and distribution facility in Richmond, CA from which it ships product to customers. Given the company's location and focus, 97% of sales are in California, primarily in the major urban areas of the San Francisco bay area, Los Angeles, Sacramento (and last but not least) San Diego. The company sells via online sales, at an average price of $15/three-sock set, plus shipping costs charged to the customer.
The company currently orders its product from the Chinese sock manufacturer Zhejiang Datang Hosiery Group Co., Ltd in so-called "Sock City." Socks are shipped via truck to the port of Shanghai, from where they are shipped to the port at Los Angeles-Long Beach via ocean freight. Once offloaded in Los Angeles-Long Beach, the socks are shipped via truck to the Richmond facility. On average, shipment from the manufacturer to the Richmond facility takes 4 weeks. In addition to the transit time required for shipment, the lead time from when an order is placed with the manufacturer to when it is shipped from Zhejiang is 3 weeks. So, the total lead time is considered to be 7 weeks from when Throx places an order til it reaches the Richmond facility. Historically, the standard deviation of lead time has been 1 week.
Product Orders (Demand) Information
The company provides you with the following information for the past two fiscal years:
FY 2016 FY 2017 Demand Characteristic Annual demand, units 20,000 23,000 Average weekly demand, units 430 417 Variance of wee
v
Product Forecasting Information
Throx uses two main forecasting methods based on annual data to predict orders for the following year, a weighted moving average and exponential smoothing. They provide you with the following information about forecasts for FY 2015 and FY 2016:
WeightedMoving Exponential Demand Year Average Forecast Forecast 2016 20,000 17,000 17,200 2017 23,000 19,500 19,720
Weighted Moving Average uses Wt = 0.8 and Wt-1 =0.2.
Exponential Smoothing uses = 0.9.
Inventory Management Information
The initial inventory for all sock styles combined at the beginning of FY 2018 is 3,500 units. You also have information on current costs, which includes:
Order cost to Throx for an order placed with its current supplier, $/order = S = $350
Holding cost per set per per year = H = $5
The company currently pays $4 for each set of socks. = P
The company uses a continuous review replenishment policy, and has IT systems in place that allow constant monitoring of key information. Last year, the company used an ROP under this policy of 1,500 units for all sock styles and an order quantity Q of 5,000 units for all sock styles.
Potential Alternatives to Current Supply Chain Management
The company has asked you to evaluate a number of alternatives to their current SCM practices, including at a minimum their choice of supplier, transportation modes, warehouse capacity, order quantities and safety stock.
Alternative Suppliers
The company has contacted potential alternative suppliers in China, who have offered the following information relative to the current supplier:
Supplier Characteristic Unit Price, $/3-sock set Order cost, $/order Defect Rate AlternativeA Alternative B Current 2.00 $ 4.
Throx wants to use a single-sourcing strategy, so they want a recommendation about which supplier would be best. Throx has decided to use the following weights in analyzing the suppliers:
Supplier Characteristic Unit Price, $/3-sock set Order cost, $/order Defect Rate Weight 0.4 0.3 0.1 Financial condition of th
Alternative Transportation
An alternative to their current transportation approach available to Throx is shipment by UPS Express Air from Shanghai to Richmond, which averages 3.5 days. The comparison of costs is given as:
Maersk Ocean Freight UPS AirExpress Transporation Supplier Characteristics Units cost, $/sock set Damage Rate (arrent) (Alter
* No data are available about variation in transit times, so Throx assumes this is constant.
Similar to their decision about sourcing, Throx wants to use a single-sourcing strategy for transportation, so they want a recommendation about which mode would be best.
Alternative Warehouse Location
The company would also like to assess whether its current warehouse location is appropriate based on where customers are located. It provides you the following information about its key markets, and indicates that its orders in each market are roughly proportional to the total population.
Market Population LA-Long Beadh 110 14,000,000 40 San Francisco 8,900,000 37 122 San Diego 4,750,000 33 115 2,200,000 Sacrame
For each question below complete the required calculations utilizing the tools you learned in SCM 301 providing a summary or table of your calculations. In addition, provide a few summary bullet points explaining your observations/rationale for you conclusions or recommendations.
Calculate measures of forecast accuracy (MFE, MAD and MAPE) using the data from FY2016 and FY2017. Do these forecasts seem adequate for the purposes of decision making? Why or why not?
Develop a forecast for FY2018 using the two forecasting methods currently employed by the company. Comment on which of the forecasts is likely to be more appropriate to support decisions based on your assessment of forecast accuracy from Q1. Based upon this, identify which forecast method that you will use going forward with the project.
This question will have you calculating 2 EOQ and ROP values and interpreting the results. For both EOQ and ROP, give your final answer in full sock sets (ROUND UP to the next whole number). The specific questions to answer are based in parts a-c. Tips to solve the EOQ and ROP are given below in bullet points.
Calculate EOQ and ROP for FY2017 based on the FY2017 forecast value that you recommended in Question #1.
Calculate the EOQ and ROP based upon actual demand for FY2017
Using the responses from parts a & b, indicate what the implications are for inventory management costs in FY2017. In other words, 1. Compare the total costs for both EOQ values and analyze what it shows you. 2. What if any are the implications of the ROP based on the forecast vs the ROP based on actual demand.
See additional tips below:
Use a service level of 95% (z=1.65) when calculating the ROP
Calculate average weekly demand (dSi0TrNzKp7X1YiFCtoHe2kdxhNZYrNZcGTZ7Azo+ ) by dividing the forecast by 50 weeks
For the variance in weekly demand, use the data provided in the table on page 2 of the case with the FY2017 forecast for all approaches.
Remember that there is a difference between variance and standard deviation and how you apply these values in the ROP formula
Annual Inventory management costs will include the following: Annual Holding Costs, Annual Ordering Costs, and Purchase Cost.
Currently, the company is purchasing parts not using EOQ and ROP values determined by the tools we are using. These values are given in the case.
Using their current order quantity, calculate the current inventory management costs based upon actual demand in FY2017 aka use this as D.
Compare this cost to the costs to that would have been achieved if the company had used its forecast for FY2017 to calculate EOQ and ROP values (what you calculated in Question 3a). TIP: When calculating costs based upon the forecasted EOQ, use the actual demand as D in your total cost equation. This will ensure you find the true savings or increase that the company would have seen by using the EOQ value.
Provide the company with the following recommendations for FY2018 to improve SCM performance, based on analysis of available data and appropriate methods from SCM 301. Be sure to justify your recommendation. Use your forecast method / values from Question 2 as input into your decisions.
Indicate which of the three suppliers should be used for FY2018. Develop a supplier scorecard using the following scale: 3=best, 2=second best, 1=worst and the weights provided in the case to support your selection.
Calculate EOQ and ROP values for FY2018 based on your forecast from Question 2 and recommended supplier from Question 5a. (TIP: The selected supplier may change your S and P values.) Give your final answer in full sock sets (ROUND UP to the next whole number). What are the expected costs for inventory management based on your decisions? How does this compare to company's current policy--your answers from 4a?
Indicate which transportation mode should be used for FY2018. You must complete n analysis of the transportation costs. You may develop a scorecard to support your answer, but it is not required. When supporting your recommendation, be sure to discuss other implications (such as inventory levels, safety stock, cost et to support your decision.
Indicate an appropriate location for a new facility if one is to be built using the weighted center of gravity approach. Round your final coordinates (X, Y) to two decimal places. Discuss other relevant factors that would influence the choice of a specific location once the (X,Y) coordinates have been identified.
Discuss potential issues with the implementation of your recommendations. What changes or resources would be necessary to implement them, and what might create challenges?
2.
15. In a perfectly competitive market, consumer surplus typically is
A) undefined.
B) positive.
C) zero.
D) negative.
16. Which of the following statements is TRUE?
A) A monopolist always produces a higher level of output than would be produced if the market were competitive.
B) At the monopolist's equilibrium, resources are being efficiently allocated.
C) Monopolists raise the price and restrict production, compared to a competitive situation.
D) With a monopoly, the value to society of the last unit produced is less than it's production cost.
17. A monopolist is maximizing profit at an output rate of 1,000 units per month. At this output rate, the price that its customers are willing and able to pay is $8 per unit, average total cost is $5 per unit, and marginal cost is $6 per unit. It may be concluded that at this monthly output rate, marginal revenue is
A) $5 per unit, and the monopolist earns zero economic profits.
B) $6 per unit, and the monopolist earns economic profits of $3,000 per month.
C) $5 per unit, and the monopolist earns economic profits of $2,000 per month.
D) $6 per unit, and the monopolist earns economic losses of $1,000 per month.
18. Which of the following describes monopolistic competition?
A) P = MR = MC
B) There is only one seller in the industry
C) Advertising plays a key role
D) Homogenous products
19. Marginal cost pricing for an information product
A) would cause the firm to earn economic profits.
B) would allow the firm to break even.
C) would cause the firm to expand output to increase economic profits.
D) would cause the firm to experience economic losses.
20. If a firm produces an experience good, its mode of advertising will be
A) not to advertise.
B) direct advertising.
C) persuasive advertising.
D) none of the above.
21. There is no incentive for additional producers of an information product to enter the industry when the price charged for these products by each firm already in the industry is equal to
A) average total cost.
B) average fixed cost.
C) marginal cost.
D) average variable cost.
22. A monopolistic competitor in long-run equilibrium is like a perfect competitor in that
A) zero economic profits are made.
B) price is greater than marginal cost.
C) price equals marginal cost.
D) both produce at the minimum points of their average total cost curves.
24. The demand curve for a monopolistically competitive firm is
A) elastic because the products produced are homogeneous.
B) inelastic because of barriers to entry.
C) elastic because of product differentiation.
D) inelastic because of the profit maximizing behavior of the firm.
25. Which of the following statements is true about the economic profits earned by a monopolistic competitor firm in the long run?
A) Economic profits can be positive since firms have some degree of monopoly power.
B) Economic profits will tend towards zero since positive profits will attract new firms into the industry.
C) Economic profits will be positive since the firm has a downward sloping demand curve.
D) Economic profits can be negative since there is so much competition in the market.
26. A search good is a product
A) that an individual must consume before the quality can be established.
B) with qualities that consumers lack the expertise to assess without assistance.
C) with characteristics that enable an individual to evaluate the product's quality in advance of a purchase.
D) that emphasizes the features of its product.
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