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1. TXC Energy Distributors, a natural gas and gas products company, is analyzing a gas purchase project. The projections were provided by a field engineer,

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1. TXC Energy Distributors, a natural gas and gas products company, is analyzing a gas purchase project. The projections were provided by a field engineer, and the project is expected to last 10 years. The company's cost of capital is 11%, and the projections from the field engineer's report are as follows: "The investment requires two components. The first is the cost to lay the natural gas pipeline. The equipment costs $1,150,000 and the installation is $90,000. The next cost is the $132,000 required increase in net working capital. The well is expected to produce 980,000 cubic feet (980 MCF) per day of natural gas during year 1 and then decline over the remaining nine-year period. The natural gas production is expected to decline by 10% per year after year 1 . Note that we expect to operate 365 days per year assuming there are no maintenance shut downs. Along with the additional expenditures for the pipeline, the company has three additional sets of expenses. The first is a contracted fee consisting of 30% of the wellhead natural gas market price which must be paid to the producer (i.e., if the wellhead price is $2.25 per MCF, the fee is $0.675 MCF). In addition, gas compression and processing costs total $0.35 per MCF. The final cost is a fixed cost of $9,000 per year for insurance, etc. The equipment is expected to have a salvage value of around $90,000 after 10 years and working capital is expected to be 15% of annual revenue (and then working capital is recovered at project end). Also at project termination, there is expected to be reclamation costs of $15,000." F) (18 points) Assign probabilities to the scenarios, what is the expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation of this project? What is the probability the NPV

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