Question
1. You are long on oil futures since May 1. On May 2, futures price on 1,000 barrels of crude oil with January 15 delivery
1. You are long on oil futures since May 1. On May 2, futures price on 1,000 barrels of crude oil with January 15 delivery was $50 a barrel, while spot price of crude oil was $51 a barrel. One week later, on May 9, futures price on the same contract was $52 and spot price of crude was $53. Between May 2 and May 9,
- Your account balance went up by $2,000
- Your account balance went down by $2,000
- Your account balance went up by $1,000
- Your account balance went down by $1,000
2. You are an oil producer. You see a December light sweet crude futures settling at $59 a barrel. The contracts are for 1000 barrels each. You decide to hedge 10,000 barrels of your reserves with this futures contract.
a. Under each of the following scenarios, show the value of your futures position, the value of your oil position, and the total portfolio value on the maturity day. Please analyze each of your positions in this problem individually, i.e. as if the other position did not exist; and then simply add up the values of the two positions to get the total value under each scenario.
| Maturity Day Spot Oil Price, $$ per bbl | ||
| 50 | 59 | 70 |
Value of your position in the futures
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Value of your position in oil
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TOTAL |
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b. If you close out your futures position prior to the contract maturity day, the hedge is not guaranteed to work. (True / False)
c. If you close out your futures position prior to the contract maturity day, your futures account will not be marked to market. (True / False)
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