Question
1.1 Consider the regression model developed for the National Football League data in Problem 3.1. Calculate the PRESS statistic for this model. What comments can
1.1 Consider the regression model developed for the National Football League data in Problem 3.1.
Calculate the PRESS statistic for this model. What comments can you make about the likely predictive performance of this model?
Delete half the observations (chosen at random), and refit the regression model. Have the regression coefficients changed dramatically? How well does this model predict the number of games won for the deleted observations?
Answer in R
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Team | y | x1 | x2 | x3 | x4 | x5 | x6 | x7 | x8 | x9 |
1 | 10 | 2113 | 1985 | 38.9 | 64.7 | 4 | 868 | 59.7 | 2205 | 1917 |
2 | 11 | 2003 | 2855 | 38.8 | 61.3 | 3 | 615 | 55 | 2096 | 1575 |
3 | 11 | 2957 | 1737 | 40.1 | 60 | 14 | 914 | 65.6 | 1847 | 2175 |
4 | 13 | 2285 | 2905 | 41.6 | 45.3 | -4 | 957 | 61.4 | 1903 | 2476 |
5 | 10 | 2971 | 1666 | 39.2 | 53.8 | 15 | 836 | 66.1 | 1457 | 1866 |
6 | 11 | 2309 | 2927 | 39.7 | 74.1 | 8 | 786 | 61 | 1848 | 2339 |
7 | 10 | 2528 | 2341 | 38.1 | 65.4 | 12 | 754 | 66.1 | 1564 | 2092 |
8 | 11 | 2147 | 2737 | 37 | 78.3 | -1 | 761 | 58 | 1821 | 1909 |
9 | 4 | 1689 | 1414 | 42.1 | 47.6 | -3 | 714 | 57 | 2577 | 2001 |
10 | 2 | 2566 | 1838 | 42.3 | 54.2 | -1 | 797 | 58.9 | 2476 | 2254 |
11 | 7 | 2363 | 1480 | 37.3 | 48 | 19 | 984 | 67.5 | 1984 | 2217 |
12 | 10 | 2109 | 2191 | 39.5 | 51.9 | 6 | 700 | 57.2 | 1917 | 1758 |
13 | 9 | 2295 | 2229 | 37.4 | 53.6 | -5 | 1037 | 58.8 | 1761 | 2032 |
14 | 9 | 1932 | 2204 | 35.1 | 71.4 | 3 | 986 | 58.6 | 1709 | 2025 |
15 | 6 | 2213 | 2140 | 38.8 | 58.3 | 6 | 819 | 59.2 | 1901 | 1686 |
16 | 5 | 1722 | 1730 | 36.6 | 52.6 | -19 | 791 | 54.4 | 2288 | 1835 |
17 | 5 | 1498 | 2072 | 35.3 | 59.3 | -5 | 776 | 49.6 | 2072 | 1914 |
18 | 5 | 1873 | 2929 | 41.1 | 55.3 | 10 | 789 | 54.3 | 2861 | 2496 |
19 | 6 | 2118 | 2268 | 38.2 | 69.6 | 6 | 582 | 58.7 | 2411 | 2670 |
20 | 4 | 1775 | 1983 | 39.3 | 78.3 | 7 | 901 | 51.7 | 2289 | 2202 |
21 | 3 | 1904 | 1792 | 39.7 | 38.1 | -9 | 734 | 61.9 | 2203 | 1988 |
22 | 3 | 1929 | 1606 | 39.7 | 68.8 | -21 | 627 | 52.7 | 2592 | 2324 |
23 | 4 | 2080 | 1492 | 35.5 | 68.8 | -8 | 722 | 57.8 | 2053 | 2550 |
24 | 10 | 2301 | 2835 | 35.3 | 74.1 | 2 | 683 | 59.7 | 1979 | 2110 |
25 | 6 | 2040 | 2416 | 38.7 | 50 | 0 | 576 | 54.9 | 2048 | 2628 |
26 | 8 | 2447 | 1638 | 39.9 | 57.1 | -8 | 848 | 65.3 | 1786 | 1776 |
27 | 2 | 1416 | 2649 | 37.4 | 56.3 | -22 | 684 | 43.8 | 2876 | 2524 |
28 | 0 | 1503 | 1503 | 39.3 | 47 | -9 | 875 | 53.5 | 2560 | 2241 |
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