Question
12) Due to a recession, expected inflation this year is only 2.25%. However, the inflation rate in Year 2 and thereafter is expected to be
12) Due to a recession, expected inflation this year is only 2.25%. However, the inflation rate in Year 2 and thereafter is expected to be constant at some level above 2.25%. Assume that the expectations theory holds and the real risk-free rate (r*) is 3.25%. If the yield on 3-year Treasury bonds equals the 1-year yield plus 3.25%, what inflation rate is expected after Year 1? Round your answer to two decimal places.
13) A company's 5-year bonds are yielding 9.1% per year. Treasury bonds with the same maturity are yielding 6.5% per year, and the real risk-free rate (r*) is 2.40%. The average inflation premium is 3.70%, and the maturity risk premium is estimated to be 0.1 x (t - 1)%, where t = number of years to maturity. If the liquidity premium is 1.1%, what is the default risk premium on the corporate bonds? Round your answer to two decimal places.
15) Suppose 2-year Treasury bonds yield 5.6%, while 1-year bonds yield 6.2%. r* is 2%, and the maturity risk premium is zero. Negative expected inflation rates, if any, should be indicated by a minus sign.
- Using the expectations theory, what is the yield on a 1-year bond, 1 year from now? Calculate the yield using a geometric average. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.
- What is the expected inflation rate in Year 1? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.
- What is the expected inflation rate in Year 2? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.
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