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1,205 persons, who were accidentally exposed to a large-dose gamma-radiation were followed for a year and their mortality experience was recorded monthly. Some were lost

1,205 persons, who were accidentally exposed to a large-dose gamma-radiation were followed for a year and their mortality experience was recorded monthly. Some were lost to follow-up with whereabouts and outcome of people are not known. The table below are the monthly-recorded deaths and "withdrawals".

Month (measured at end of month)

Deaths

Withdrawals

(Lost to Follow-up)

December, 2019

10

5

January, 2020

15

7

February, 2020

23

11

March, 2020

27

22

April, 2020

35

4

May, 2020

42

6

June, 2020

21

18

July, 2020

24

3

August, 2020

22

6

September, 2020

10

3

October, 2020

7

15

November, 2020

2

7

Create a table for the data in a proper format and answer the following questions based on your calculations:

  1. What was the probability of dying during the month of August, 2020?
  2. What was the probability of surviving until the end of October, 2020?
  3. Which month exhibited the highest levels of survival (probability of surviving the month)?
  4. Please draw a survival curve for these data (using the cumulative survival for each month).
  5. The management of the military installation where this leak occurred think that it is too expensive to keep following these people; the risk of death has become predictable, if not downright low. Do you agree? If so, why? If not, how might you convince them to keep funding the study?

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