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. . (13+ _ . E{df+ III] . H[pt+ ll'f] . . . . IIl. Assuming further that ill{15 {1+r; 211130 = till1; = (1.e._.
. . (13+ _ . E{df+ III] . H[pt+ ll'f] . . . . IIl. Assuming further that ill{15 {1+r;" 211130 = till1; = (1.e._. drtndend grows at a rate no larger than r) show that equation {1) implies that [2) Pr = L 1 _ EM: HL). (I.e._. Equation (2) which states that the current stock price is 1 + r [:9 (1+ r)' the expected discounted value of iture dividend streams. is a solution of equation {1}}. (Hint: a) Use the dynamic relationship between pt and Efptt) [or more generally pt\"- and E{pt+i+1|ft+i)) implied by equation [1} and keep substituting pt\" out in terms of pt+i+1 and tit\" recursitrehgr for i3\" =1. For example. since pt = {EIEleHt} + dtjf + T). pt+l = (E{pt+2l'ft+l) + dt+1)z'{1 + 7") 311d pt+i = (Emtnnlftn) + dtHNlZl + T) for i 3'4}- h) Then apply the law of iterated expectations to show equation (2).) II. The following question illustrates how, so called, rational speculative bubble can arise under the rational expectations. Suppose people are risk neutral (i.e., they only care about the expected value) so that the following condition holds: E(PHI I, ) + d, (1) =1+ r , where ptis the price of a stock at time t; E(put1 It) is the rational Pt expectation of pt+1 conditional on the time t information It, which is equal to the (mathematical) conditional expectation of pt+1 conditional on the time t information It.; dt is the dividend (assumed to be made at the beginning of t and thus known at t); and r is the rate of return on the risk free asset which is assumed to be constant. The above arbitrage condition states that if risk neutral individuals arbitrage between stocks and the riskless asset, the expected rate of return on stocks must equal to the risk-free rate r
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