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13. Scenario Analysis. Consider the following scenario analysis: (QL011-2) Rate of Return Scenario Probability Bonds Stocks - 5% Recession 0.20 +14% 0.60 + 15 +8

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13. Scenario Analysis. Consider the following scenario analysis: (QL011-2) Rate of Return Scenario Probability Bonds Stocks - 5% Recession 0.20 +14% 0.60 + 15 +8 Normal economy Boom 0.20 + 25 +4 a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. c. Which investment would you prefer? 100 W If both nocnibilitiarre equally likely calculate

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