2. 3. Corporate triple A bond interest rates for 12 consecutive months are as follows: 9.8 10.5 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.3 9.4 9.6 9.8 9.7 9.6 S. 6. (a) Choose the correct time series plot. Monthly Interest Rate 7 8. 10,8 106 104 102 10. . 100 9.8 96 Interest Rate 92 9.0 86 BA 82 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month(t) (1) Monthly Interest Rate Interest Rate(%) 108 106 104 102 100 9.8 9.6 94 92 9.0 BB BA 82 2 3 4 5 6 7 B 10 11 12 Month(t) 82 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 Month it (iii) Monthly Interest Rate 10.8 106 104 102 10.0 9.B Interest Rate(%) 9.8 94 92 90 88 86 84 82 1 2. 3 4 5 8 9 6 7 Month(t) 10 11 12 (iv) Monthly interest Rate Interest Rate(%) 10.B 10.6 104 10.2 10.0 98 9.6 94 92 9.0 8.8 84 82 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 Morth(t) 10 11 12 Select your answer What type of pattern exists in the data? Select your answer Select your answer What type of pattern exists in the data? Select your answer (b) Develop three month and four month moving averages for this time series. If required, round your answers to two decimal places. 3 Month 4 Month Month Sales Moving Average Moving Average 1 9.5 2 3 4 5 9.8 6 7 8 10.5 9 10 9.7 11 9.6 9.6 12 Enter the Mean Square Errors for the three month and the four month moving average[recasts required, round your answers to three decimal digits. 3 month 4 months moving moving average average MSE Does the three month or the four month moving average provide the better forecasts based on HSE? Explain Select your answer Select your answer (c) What is the moving werage forecast for the next month freed, round your answer to two decimal places O DOLL 6-CIS/MGT 601 - Assignment 5 - Option 2 (Rattle not required) - Predictive Analytics 4.3 3 9.4 2 4 9.6 5 9.8 6 9.7 7 9.8 8 10.5 9 9.9 10 9.7 11 9.6 12 Enter the Mean Square Errors for the three month and the four-month moving average forecasts. If required, round your answers to three decimal digits. 3-month 4-month moving moving average average MSE Does the three month of the four month moving average provide the better forecasts based on HSEExplain. Select your answer Select your answer (c) what is the moving average forecast for the next month of required, round your answer to two decimal places Problem s 13 Algesing Average petal Smooth