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2- 3-18 Although Ken Brown (discussed in Problem 3-17) is the principal owner of Brown Oil, his brother Bob is credited with making the company

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2- 3-18 Although Ken Brown (discussed in Problem 3-17) is the principal owner of Brown Oil, his brother Bob is credited with making the company a financial suc- cess. Bob is vice president of finance. Bob attributes his success to his pessimistic attitude about business and the oil industry. Given the information from Problem 3-17, it is likely that Bob will arrive at a dif- ferent decision. What decision criterion should Bob use, and what alternative will he select? 2- 3-19 The Lubricant is an expensive oil newsletter to which many oil giants subscribe, including Ken Brown (see Problem 3-17 for details). In the last issue, the letter described how the demand for oil products would be extremely high. Apparently, the American consumer will continue to use oil products even if the price of these products doubles. Indeed, one of the articles in the Lubricant states that the chance of a favorable market for oil products was 70%, while the chance of an unfavorable market was only 30%. Ken would like to use these probabilities in determining the best decision. (a) What decision model should be used? (b) What is the optimal decision

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