(2) According to the article, what 3 major factors have bigger impact on longer-term yields?

(3 What factor have bigger impact on short term rates?

(4) Use the CNBC websitehttps://www.cnbc.com/quotes/?symbol=US30Y(Links to an external site.)

to look at the U.S. 30 Year Treasury field historical trend. Forecast the short-term (1 year) and long-term (5 year) trend of U.S. 30 Year Treasury field. Make sure to suggest a forecasting model and provide your reasoning for your forecast.

(you might need to refer to some external resources on time series forecasting modeling, you do not need to discuss the technical details of the model.)