2 Analytics Exercise 20-4 (Algo) 2.14 Big10Sweaters.com is a new company started last year by two recent college graduates. The idea behind the company was simple. points They will sell premium logo sweaters for Big Ten colleges with one major, unique feature. This unique feature is a special large monogram that has the customer's name, major, and year of graduation. The sweater is the perfect gift for graduating students and alumni, particularly avid football fans who want to show support during the football season. The company is off to a great start and had eBook a successful first year while selling to only a few schools. This year they plan to expand to a few more schools and target the entire Big Ten Conference within three years. Print References You have been hired by Big10Sweaters. com and need to make a good impression by making good supply chain decisions. This is your big opportunity with a startup. There are only two people in the firm and you were hired with the prospect of possibly becoming a principal in the future. You majored in supply chain (operations) management in school and had a great internship at a big retailer that was getting into Internet sales. The experience was great, but now you are on your own and have none of the great support that the big company had. You need to find and analyze your own data and make some big decisions. Of course, Rhonda and Steve, the partners who started the company, are knowledgeable about this venture and they are going to help along the way. Rhonda had the idea to start the company two years ago and talked her friend from business school, Steve, into joining her. Rhonda is into web marketing, has a degree in computer science, and has been working on completing an online MBA. She is as much an artist as a techie. She can really make the website sing. Steve majored in accounting and likes to pump the numbers. He has done a great job of keeping the books and selling the company to some small venture capital people in the area. Last year, he was successful in getting them to invest $2,000,000 in the company (a onetime investment). There were some significant strings attached to this investment in that it stipulated that only $100,000 per year could go toward paying the salary of the two principals. The rest had to be spent on the website, advertising, and inventory. In addition, the venture capital company gets 24 percent of the company profits, before taxes, during the first four years of operation, assuming the company makes a profit. Your first job is to focus on the firm's inventory. The company is centered on selling the premium sweaters to college football fans through a website. Your analysis is important since a significant portion of the company's assets is the inventory that it carries. Mc Grav Hill Pre. 2 of 14 Next > e 9 DELLTopic 7 Assignment i Saved 2 Your first job is to focus on the firm's inventory. The company is centered on selling the premium sweaters to college football fans through a website. Your analysis is important since a significant portion of the company's assets is the inventory that it carries. The business is cyclic, and sales are concentrated during the period leading up to the college football season, which runs between 2.14 late August and the end of each year. For the upcoming season, the firm wants to sell sweaters to only a few of the largest schools in points the Midwest region of the United States. In particular, they are targeting The Ohio State University (OSU), the University of Michigan (UM). Michigan State University (MSU), Purdue University (PU), and Indiana University (IU). These five schools have major football programs and a loyal fan base. The firm has considered the idea of making the sweaters in their own factory, but for now they purchase them from a supplier in China. The prices are great, but service is a problem since the supplier has a 20-week lead time for each order and the minimum order size is 5,000 sweaters. The order can consist of a mix of the different logos, such as 2,000 for OSU, 1,500 for UM, 750 for MSU, 500 for PU, and 250 for IU. Within each logo sub lot, sizes are allocated based on percentages and the supplier suggests 20 percent X-large, 50 percent large, 20 percent medium, and 10 percent small based on their historical data. Once an order is received, a local subcontractor applies the monograms and ships the sweaters to the customer. They store the inventory of sweaters for the company in a small warehouse area located at the subcontractor. This is the company's second year of operation. Last year they only sold sweaters for three of the schools, OSU, UM, and PU. They ordered the minimum 5,000 sweaters and sold all of them, but the experience was painful since they had too many UM sweaters and not enough for OSU fans. Last year they ordered 2,320 OSU, 1,740 UM, and 940 PU sweaters. Of the 5,000 sweaters, 405 had to be sold at a steep discount on eBay after the season. They were hoping not to do this again. For the next year, you have collected some data relevant to the decision. Exhibit 20.12 shows cost information for the product when purchased from the supplier in China. Here we see that the cost for each sweater, delivered to the warehouse of our monogramming subcontractor, is $65.03. This price is valid for any quantity that we order above 5.000 sweaters. This order can be a mix of sweaters for each of the five schools we are targeting. The supplier needs 20 weeks to process the order, so the order needs to be placed around April 1 for the upcoming football season. Exhibit 20.12 COST INFORMATION FOR THE BIG TEN SWEATERS Mc raw Pray of 14 Next >2 Exhibit 2012 COST INFORMATION FOR THE BIG TEN SWEATERS China supplier cost Material $35 . 60 14 Labor 11. 50 oints Overhead 1. 25 Transportation within China 1. 60 Supplier profit 9 . 16 Agent's fee 2. 68 eBook Freight (ocean carrier ) 1. 56 Duty, insurance, etc. Print Total supplier cost $65. 03 Domestic subcontractor cost References Monogram material $ 5.00 Labor 7.00 Total subcontractor cost $12, 06 Total (per sweater) $77 . 03 Exhibit 2013 FORECAST DATA FOR THE BIG TEN SWEATERS MARKET AVERAGE LAST YEAR'S RHONDA'S STEVE'S RESEARCH FOOTBALL GAME ACTUAL SALES FORECAST FOR FORECAST FOR FORECAST FOR AVERAGE STANDARD ATTENDANCE (FULL PRICE ) NEXT YEAR NEXT YEAR NEXT YEAR FORECAST Ohio State DEVIATION 105, 261 2, 320 2 , 506 2 , 280 2 , 890 Michigan 2,557 309 108,933 1 , 350 1, 776 1, 540 Purdue 1, 900 50,457 1,737 182 925 970 920 1, 060 Michigan State 983 71 74,741 1, 760 1 , 540 Indiana 1, 540 41, 833 1, 593 92 570 520 460 55 Penn State 517 167, 908 Wisconsin 80, 109 Iowa 76 , 214 Illinois 59, 545 Minnesota 50, 805 rav Prev 2 of 14 Next >2 Exhibit 2013 FORECAST DATA FOR THE BIG TEN SWEATERS MARKET AVERAGE LAST YEAR'S RHONDA 'S STEVE'S RESEARCH 2.14 FOOTBALL GAME ACTUAL SALES FORECAST FOR FORECAST FOR FORECAST FOR AVERAGE STANDARD points ATTENDANCE (FULL PRICE) NEXT YEAR NEXT YEAR NEXT YEAR FORECAST DEVIATION Ohio State 105, 261 2, 320 2, 500 2, 280 2, 890 2,557 309 Michigan 108,933 350 1, 770 1, 540 1, 908 1,737 182 Purdue 50, 457 325 970 920 1, 060 983 71 Book Michigan State 74, 741 546 1, 546 1, 593 92 Indiana 41, 833 570 520 460 517 55 Print Penn State 107 , 608 References Wisconsin 80, 109 Iowa 70, 214 Illinois 59, 545 Minnesota 50, 805 Northwestern 24, 190 Nebraska 85, 071 Total 4, 595+ 7, 510 6 , 800 7, 850 7,387 381* * *405 sweaters were sold through eBay for $49 each (the customer pays shipping on all orders). N "Calculated assuming the demand at each school is independent = Our monogramming subcontractor gets $12 for each sweater. Shipping cost is paid by the customer when the order is placed. In addition to the cost data, you also have some demand information, as shown in Exhibit 20.13. The exact sales numbers for last year are given. The exhibit indicates the retail or "full price" sales for the sweaters that were sold for $121 each. Sweaters that we had at the end of the season were sold through eBay for $49 each and were not monogrammed. Keep in mind that the retail sales numbers do not accurately reflect actual demand since they stocked out of the OSU sweaters toward the end of the season. raw Prev 2 of 14 Next > O DELL2 In addition to the cost data, you also have some demand information, as shown in Exhibit 20.13. The exact sales numbers for last year are given. The exhibit indicates the retail or "full price" sales for the sweaters that were sold for $121 each. Sweaters that we had at the end of the season were sold through eBay for $49 each and were not monogrammed. Keep in mind that the retail sales numbers do not accurately reflect actual demand since they stocked out of the OSU sweaters toward the end of the season. 2.14 As for advertising the sweaters for next season, Rhonda is committed to using the same approach used last year. The firm placed ads points in the football program sold at each game. These worked very well for reaching those attending the games, but she realized there might be ways to advertise that would open sales to more alumni. She has hired a market research firm to help identify other Book advertising outlets but has decided to wait at least another year to try something different. Print Forecasting demand is a major problem for the company. You have asked Rhonda and Steve to predict what they think sales might be next year. You have also asked the market research firm to apply their forecasting tools. Data on these forecasts are given in Exhibit Refer 2013. To generate some statistics you have averaged the forecasts and calculated the standard deviation for each school and in total. Based on advice from the market research firm, you have decided to use the aggregate demand forecast and standard deviation for the aggregate demand. The aggregate demand was calculated by adding the average forecast for each item. The aggregate standard deviation was calculated by squaring the standard deviation for each item (this is the variance), summing the variance for each item, and then taking the square root of this sum. This assumes that the demand for each school is independent, meaning that the demand for Ohio State is totally unrelated to the demand at Michigan and the other schools. You will allocate your aggregate order to the individual schools based on their expected percentage of total demand. You discussed your analysis with Rhonda and Steve and they are OK with your analysis. They would like to see what the order quantities would be if each school was considered individually. You are curious as to how much Rhonda and Steve made in their business last year. You do not have all the data, but you know that most of their expenses relate to buying the sweaters and having them monogrammed. You know they paid themselves $50,000 each and you know the rent, utilities, insurance, and a benefit package for the business was about $19,000. They are paying you $38.000 and you expect your benefit package addition would be about $1,000 per year. Assume that they order based on the aggregate forecast. a. what is the expected pre-tax profit for this year, after deducting salary and overhead? Use average forecast for each school. Assume sales materialize per the average forecasts and the entire safety stock amount (computed based on aggregate demand) must be sold Mc Graw Prey of 14 Next e DELLTopic 7 Assignment i Saved 2 You will allocate your aggregate order to the individual schools based on their expected percentage of total demand. You discussed your analysis with Rhonda and Steve and they are OK with your analysis. They would like to see what the order quantities would be if each school was considered individually. You are curious as to how much Rhonda and Steve made in their business last year. You do not have all the data, but you know that 2.14 most of their expenses relate to buying the sweaters and having them monogrammed. You know they paid themselves $50,000 each points and you know the rent, utilities, insurance, and a benefit package for the business was about $19,000. They are paying you $38,000 and you expect your benefit package addition would be about $1,000 per year. Assume that they order Book based on the aggregate forecast. Print a. what is the expected pre-tax profit for this year, after deducting salary and overhead? Use average forecast for each school. Assume References sales materialize per the average forecasts and the entire safety stock amount (computed based on aggregate demand) must be sold on EBay. (Round your answer to the nearest dollar amount.) Expected pre-tax profit b. If they must pay 50% in taxes after deducting their venture capital firm payment, how much do you expect their business cash to increase this year? (Round your answer to the nearest dollar amount.) ncrease in cash Graw Prey of 14 Next > O