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2. Compute the expected return and standard deviation for each of the two combinations. Table 1 Houston Disbursment Profitability Profitability of Houston Disbursmen in various

2. Compute the expected return and standard deviation for each of the two combinations.

Table 1

Houston Disbursment Profitability

Profitability of Houston Disbursmen in various economic conditions.

Variable wages are 40 percent of revenue, and variable operating costs are 20 percent of revenue

Weak Economy

Strong Economy

OIL PRICES:

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

Total Revenue

$200,000.00

$300,000.00

$250,000.00

$400,000.00

Variable Wages

($80,000.00)

($120,000.00)

($100,000.00)

($160,000.00)

Variable operating costs

($40,000.00)

($60,000.00)

($50,000.00)

($80,000.00)

Fixed Wages

($50,000.00)

($50,000.00)

($50,000.00)

($50,000.00)

Fixed operating costs

($45,000.00)

($45,000.00)

($45,000.00)

($45,000.00)

Earnings before tax

($-15,000.00)

$25,000.00

$5,000.00

$65,000.00

Costs 75K TO OPEN AN OFFICE IN EITHER ALASKA OR CALI

ALASKA

Weak Economy

Strong Economy

OIL PRICES:

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

Total Revenue

$50,000

$300,000

$75,000

$400,000

Variable Wages

($20,000)

($120,000)

($30,000)

($160,000)

Variable operating costs

($10,000)

($60,000)

($15,000)

($80,000)

Fixed Wages

($30,000)

($30,000)

($30,000)

($30,000)

Fixed operating costs

($30,000)

($30,000)

($30,000)

($30,000)

Earnings before tax

($-40,000)

$60,000

($-30,000)

$100,000

CALIFORNIA

Weak Economy

Strong Economy

OIL PRICES:

LOW

HIGH

LOW

HIGH

Total Revenue

$200,000

$200,000

$250,000

$250,000

Variable Wages

($80,000)

($80,000)

($100,000)

($100,000)

Variable operating costs

($40,000)

($40,000)

($50,000)

($50,000)

Fixed Wages

($40,000)

($40,000)

($40,000)

($40,000)

Fixed operating costs

($35,000)

($35,000)

($35,000)

($35,000)

Earnings before tax

$5,000

$5,000

$25,000

$25,000

Costs 75K TO OPEN AN OFFICE IN EITHER ALASKA OR CALIFORNIA

28% tax rate on earnings.

Probability of a STRONG economy is 66.6%. Probability of a weak economy is 33.3%.

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