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2 . Gecko Insurance is planning to offer a new type of combined auto and renter s insurance product. Their chief statistician, Albert Gorithm, estimated

2. Gecko Insurance is planning to offer a new type of combined auto and renters insurance product. Their chief statistician, Albert Gorithm, estimated the parameters of Basss diffusion model for two potential markets. The results follow:
Market 1:
Market 2:
Remember that the general equation for sales in any time period t is:
Where S (t)= sales (000s) in period t; p = coefficient of innovation; q = coefficient of imitation; m= sales potential or saturation level; Yt-1= total people who have ever bought (cumulative sales) by end of period t-1
a. Without doing any calculations, which market would you guess had the higher sales potential m? Briefly explain your answer.
b. Draw the shape of the predicted sales curve for each market and explain your answer in each case. Show the starting sales level (period 1) and draw the shape carefully.
c. What diffusion effect is driving sales in market 1? What is driving sales in market 2?(Hint: It is either the innovation effect p or the imitation effect q). Explain your answer.
3 i) Provide an example of a product or service which follows a sales trajectory such as the one in Market 1 of question (2). Briefly explain why you have provided this example.
ii) Provide an example of a product or service which follows a sales trajectory such as the one in Market 2 of question (2). Briefly explain the reasons why you provided this example.Gecko Insurance is planning to offer a new type of combined auto and renter's insurance
product. Their chief statistician, Albert Gorithm! estimated the parameters of Bass's diffusion
model for two potential markets. The results follow:
Market 1: St=2650+.057Yt-1-.00022Yt-12
Market 2: St=14380-.036Yt-1-.00065Yt-12
Remember that the general equation for sales in any time period t is:
St=p0m+(q-p0)Yt-1-(qm)Yt-12
Where S(t)= sales ('000s) in period t; p= coefficient of innovation; q= coefficient of imitation;
m= sales potential or saturation level; Yt-1= total people who have ever bought (cumulative sales)
by end of period t-1
a. Without doing any calculations, which market would you guess had the higher sales
potential m? Briefly explain your answer.
b. Draw the shape of the predicted sales curve for each market and explain your answer in
each case. Show the starting sales level (period 1) and draw the shape carefully.
c. What diffusion effect is driving sales in Market 1? What is driving sales in market 2?
(Hint: It is either the innovation effect p or the imitation effect q). Explain your answer.
3 i) Provide an example of a product or service which follows a sales trajectory such as the one
in Market 1 of question (2). Briefly explain why you have provided this example.
ii) Provide an example of a product or service which follows a sales trajectory such as the one in
Market 2 of question (2). Briefly explain the reasons why you provided this example.

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