Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!

Question

1 Approved Answer

2 . One of the major concerns for middle - aged folks is when to retire and start receiving social security payments. The Social Security

2. One of the major concerns for middle-aged folks is when to retire and start receiving social security payments. The Social Security Administration (SSA) gives you the following guidelines:
a. Retire at age 62. SSA payments are reduced by 25 percent, and you can only earn less than $14,000/year before further reduction of your payments.
b. Retire at 66(full retirement age). You can also continue to work and earn as much as you want with no penalties. Typical yearly SSA payments for engineers are $20,000 to $30,000/year.
c. Retire at 70, and SSA payments will increase by 25 percent.
The decision is obviously dependent on the life expectancy of the person and the expected future interest (inflation) rate. Each participant should use a different inflation rate (i%) or consumer purchasing index or (CPI) to advise whether to retire at 62,66, or 70 based on the persons life expectancy. Indicate the age where there is a breakeven between any two of the three choices. You can choose 0 percent, low or hyper-inflation i% rates, or half-percent increments not in the tables, depending on your outlook for the economy into the future. Hint: treat the SSA problems posed here as independent items from your income. SSA is an annuity where the decision when to take it rests on the merits of the three options above, nothing to do with your salary.
Required discussion post 2 centers on three scenarios for social security administration (SSA) retirement benefits. These benefits increase yearly by the amount of inflation (i%):
Retire at 66 and receive full SSA retirement benefits.
Retire at 62, and receive 25% reduced SSA retirement benefits with limits on how much you can earn
Retire at 70 and receive 25% increased SSA retirement benefits
Note that the average retirement benefits for an engineering manager working 40 years is around $30,000/year and current interest rate increase per year is less than 1%. However, the decision is immaterial to the benefit amount, so you can actually use $1 as your basis in making the decision.
The goal of Post 2 is to determine which scenario is better, assuming that each potential retiree has two constraints to think about:
How long are they expected to live (average age for Males is 78 and females is 82) depending on their current health before retiring?
What is the expected rate of inflation?
I attached an Excel sheet based starting scenario to help in post 2. It assumes no inflation rate for ages 62 and 70, but shows how to perform analysis for age 66, and show three crossover points (for 0% interest they are 62/66 at 78 years of age, 62/70 at 81 years and 66/70 at 82 years. Use it as guide to change the analysis for ages 62 and 70). You can update it either for PV or FV, not both
To add inflation rate (i%) to the decision, you can convert each year benefit by using either Present Value (PV) or Future Value (FV) to each year of the benefit on a yearly basis then add the years to make the crossover comparison in a third Excel column, using either the ROI tables or the formula
FV = PV *(1+i)n. The higher the inflation rate the larger (older) crossover age is, since $$ in the future are worth less in todays dollars. I find it easier to use FV, which shows expanding up curves. PV shows leveling off curves.
In the given Excel example, Please note that Present/Future Values for ages 62(column D) and 70(Column M) are not calculated using the inflation rate like the Present/Future Value is for age 66(Column H).
If you use PV, then you have to make sure to bring the first and subsequent years for ages 66 and 70 to PV. If you use FV, then you do not have to bring all years to PV and just plug in the FV formula to each year then add up the benefits (Please have the same n for all three scenarios, starting with n =0 for age 62, and n =4 for age 66 and n=8 for 70 yeas). The crossovers will be the same for using either PV or FV as described.
If you are really ambitious, then you can use P/A or F/A from the ROI table. This way you can eliminate the third addition column for each year and compare the three scenarios directly
I am using 80 as average life expectency 3.5% interest rate and $22,500 as the starting salary.

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

blur-text-image

Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image

Step: 3

blur-text-image

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

Fundamentals Of Futures And Options Market

Authors: John C. Hull

6th Edition

0132242265, 9780132242264

More Books

Students also viewed these Finance questions