2. Suppose it is 2020 and 1-year interest rate is 5 percent. You observe that the interest rate on 2-year bond is 4.5%. Assume there is no liquidity premium and the interest rates are determined according to expectation hypothesis of the yield curve

a. Based on the interest rates above, what is the expected 1-year interest rate, starting one year from today?

b. If the interest rate on 3-year bond is 4%., what is the expected 1-year interest rate starting 2 years from today?

c. If the interest rate on 4-year bond is 4%., what is the expected 1-year interest rate starting 3 years from today?

d. Draw the yield curve for the next four years.

e. Is the yield curve for the next four years upward sloping or downward sloping? Explain why

f. What might the yield curve today indicate about future interest rates?

g What might the yield curve today indicate about future economic activity? Explain why?

h. What might the yield curve indicate about the markets prediction for inflation rate in the next four years?

i. What might the yield curve indicate about monetary policy today?

j. What might the yield curve indicate about a long-term bonds price? Expected return on long-term bonds? Explain

k. Given the slope of the yield curve today, would you rather be lender or borrower in the next five years? Why?