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2 Suppose You are thinking about starting a new (risky) business, and the events, probabilities, and profits are as follows: Event Prob. Profit Great success
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Suppose You are thinking about starting a new (risky) business, and the events, probabilities, and profits are as follows:
Event | Prob. | Profit |
Great success | 0.11 | +16 |
Good success. | 0.42 | +11 |
Limited success | 0.39 | +9 |
Minimal success | 0.08 | +4 |
Suppose that in addition to the possible business above, you have a similar opportunity:
Event | Prob. | Profit |
Great success | 0.21 | +16 |
Good success. | 0.32 | +11 |
Limited success | 0.29 | +9 |
Minimal success | 0.18 | +4 |
A. Calculate the expected value, and compare to the one above.
B. Calculate the expected utility, and compare to the one above. What explains the pattern in A and B of this problem vs. the earlier one
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