2. Why was the evidence from Figure 1 (along with the shift pattern of Ms. Gilbert) not conclusive evidence that Ms. Gilbert was guilty of the excess deaths? Suggest an explanation that could have caused the association without the unusual activity of Ms. Gilbert. 3. What is the relevance of the coin-tossing story to the trial of Ms. Gilbert? 4. Cobb argued that a jury would likely fall into the "prosecutor's fallacy." What is it, and why was the defense concerned about it