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25 Expected Return Compute the expected return given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns Probabilit Fast Growth Slow Growth Recession Return

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25 Expected Return Compute the expected return given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns Probabilit Fast Growth Slow Growth Recession Return 31% 11% -20% 8 16.0% 9.3% 14.0% 14.5%

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