Question
28. after some study of the economy, your forecast for next year is that a boom economy has a 30% chance of occurring, a neutral
28. after some study of the economy, your forecast for next year is that a boom economy has a 30% chance of occurring, a neutral economy 50%, and a bust economy a 20% chance of occurring. You also estimate that a certain stock would have a return of 32% in a boom economy next year, 17% in a neutral economy , and -13% in a bust economy. The risk-free rate is 4.7%. What is the standard deviation of expected returns for this stock next year? (Answer to the nearest tenth of a percent, but do not use a percent sign).
| Probability | Return |
|
|
|
Boom Economy | 30% | 32% |
Neutral Economy | 50% | 17% |
Bust Economy | 20% | -13% |
Risk-Free Rate = 4.7%
27. After studying the economy, you forecast that there is a 70% chance of a good economy next year and a 30% chance of a poor economy. If the economy is good, you estimate that a stock you have been following would have a 12% return. Likewise, if the economy is poor, you estimate a -16% return for that same stock. The risk-free rate is 4.5%. What is the standard deviation of the expected returns for this stock? (Answer to the nearest tenth of a percent, but do not use a percent sign).
| Probability | Return |
|
|
|
Good Economy | 70% | 12% |
Poor Economy | 30% | -16% |
Risk-Free Rate = 4.5
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