3.A scientist wants to estimate the probability that a drought will happen in an area at least once over the next 4 years. The chances of a drought happening in a given year is 12%. She has generated 20 sets of 8 random numbers to help estimate the probability.

Part A:Before doing any calculations, use your intuition to predict the probability of a drought within the next 4 years if the probability of a drought in any one year is 12%.(1 point)