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3 . An automobile insurance provider has a portfolio of 3 ,000 policies. In any given year, the expected number of claims is 50. The
3.An automobile insurance provider has a portfolio of 3,000 policies. In any given year, the expected number of claims is 50. The CFO states that a material consequence to company would be claims numbering 75 or more in a given year. The annualized probability of a claim for any one policy is 2%.
a) What is the annual probability of having less than 50 claims? b) What is the annual probability of having 75 or more claims (the tipping point of a material consequence)? c) Given the tipping point has occurred, what is the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentile number of claims in a given year?
3.An automobile insurance provider has a portfolio of 3,000 policies. In any given year, the expected number of claims is 50. The CFO states that a material consequence to company would be claims numbering 75 or more in a given year. The annualized probability of a claim for any one policy is 2%.
a) What is the annual probability of having less than 50 claims?
b) What is the annual probability of having 75 or more claims (the tipping point of a material consequence)?
c) Given the tipping point has occurred, what is the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentile number of claims in a given year?
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