Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!

Question

1 Approved Answer

3. An Epidemic Model We can model the spread of viruses like COVIDlg using differential equations, with the following simplifying assumptions: 0 The population at

image text in transcribed
image text in transcribed
3. An Epidemic Model We can model the spread of viruses like COVIDlg using differential equations, with the following simplifying assumptions: 0 The population at any time can be divided into three categories: infected people, susceptible people, and immune people. The population starts with a small number of infected people, and the rest of them are susceptible. In particular, at the start, there are no immune people. 9 Every infected person recovers, and once recovered, is immune from further infection, 0 A susceptible person immediately becomes infected upon contact with an infected person. a The population size is unchanging during the time period of study and is equal to N. Since the numbers of infected, susceptible, and immune people always add up to N , it sufces to model two of these quantities. A virologist wrote down the following system of differential equations in A(t) and B(t) in her notes to model the dynamics of the spread of COVlD-IQ: dA b E = 7NA(t)B(t), l: > 0 078 b E 7 NA(t)B(t) 7 we), is > o. (:1) Unfortunately, the virologist has forgotten which two of the three quantities (infected, susceptible, or immune people) the functions A and B were modeling. Using all the differential equations analysis abilities at your disposal. help the virologist conclusively decide what quantities A and B model. Be sure to justify your answer (in particular, rule out the alternatives). (h) Let N = 1000, and suppose the initial condition is that 10 people are infected and 990 are susceptible and R: 2 0.5. i. Find a I} value so that everyone eventually become infected and then recover. Explain why you know this happens. ii. Find a 5 value so that there is B(t) 5 10 for all time. This is the same as asking for I: such that % S 0. In other words, we want a situation where the number of infected people at any time is kept smaller than the initial number of infected people. New people may become infected but not faster than infected people recover. This would for example help keep hospitals able to manage infected people. iii. What factors do you think aect b? Which of the two parameters is or b dorm the social distancing approach aim to impact

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

blur-text-image

Get Instant Access with AI-Powered Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image

Step: 3

blur-text-image

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

Fundamental Managerial Accounting Concepts

Authors: Edmonds, Tsay, olds

6th Edition

71220720, 78110890, 9780071220729, 978-0078110894

Students also viewed these Mathematics questions