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3 Question 3(10 marks) (a) The current spot exchange rate is 0.80/$ and the three-month forward exchange rate is 0.7813/$. The three-month interest rate is
3 Question 3(10 marks) (a) The current spot exchange rate is 0.80/$ and the three-month forward exchange rate is 0.7813/$. The three-month interest rate is 5.6 percent per annum in the USA and 5.40 percent per annum in France. Assume that you can borrow up to $1,000,000 or 800,000.Show how to realize a certain profit via covered interest arbitrage, assuming that you want to realize profit in terms of U.S. dollars. [5 Marks] (b) As of November 1,1999, the exchange rate between the Brazilian real and U.S. dollar was R$1.95/$. The consensus forecast for the U.S. and Brazil inflation rates for the next one-year period was 2.6 percent and 20.0 percent, respectively. What would you have forecast the exchange rate to be at around November 1,2000? [5 Marks) @ w o
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